Tomorrow morning is my version of Christmas. I get up early, bubbling over with anticipation, and wait nervously for the inevitable joy and pain. (The excitement of surprises and favorites, the anger of snubs or bad choices.)
Arguably, Oscar nomination day is better than the awards show itself. By that time, the front-runners have already been identified; watching the same folks win over and over again is pretty boring. But tomorrow – tomorrow tells you everything you need to know about the state of Hollywood.
Here are my Oscar predictions for the major categories:
Best Picture
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
Green Book
A Quiet Place
Roma
A Star is Born
Vice
Directing
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)
Peter Farrelly (Green Book)
Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
Adam McKay (Vice)
Actor in a Leading Role
Christian Bale (Vice)
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman)
Actress in a Leading Role
Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns)
Glenn Close (The Wife)
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Lady Gaga (A Star is Born)
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Actor in a Supporting Role
Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
Timothée Chalamet (Beautiful Boy)
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)
Sam Elliott (A Star is Born)
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams (Vice)
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots)
Emma Stone (The Favourite)
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)
Writing (Original Screenplay)
Eighth Grade (Bo Burnham)
Green Book (Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, and Peter Farrelly)
A Quiet Place (Bryan Wood, Scott Beck, and John Krasinski)
Roma (Alfonso Cuarón)
Vice (Adam McKay)
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Blackkklansman (Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz , Kevin Willmott and Spike Lee)
Black Panther (Ryan Coogler & Joe Robert Cole)
Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty)
If Beale Street Could Talk (Barry Jenkins)
A Star is Born (Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters)
Cinematography
Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
Matthew Libatique (A Star is Born)
Robbie Ryan (The Favourite)
Linus Sandgren (First Man)
Łukasz Żal (Cold War)
Editing
Bohemian Rhapsody (John Ottman)
First Man (Tom Cross)
Roma (Alfonso Cuarón and Adam Gough)
A Star is Born (Jay Cassidy)
Vice (Hank Corwin)
Animated Feature Film
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Foreign Language Film
Burning (South Korea)
Capernaum (Lebanon)
Cold War (Poland)
Roma (Mexico)
Shoplifters (Japan)
Documentary (Feature)
Crime + Punishment
Free Solo
Minding the Gap”
Shirkers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
Music (Original Song)
“All the Stars” (Black Panther)
“Girl in the Movies” (Dumplin)
“A Place Called Slaughter Race” (Ralph Breaks the Internet)
“Trip a Little Light Fantastic” (Mary Poppins Returns)
“Shallow” (A Star Is Born)
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