Best Picture
Will win: Oppenheimer
Might upset: Nothing.
Should have been nominated: The Iron Claw
My personal pick: The Holdovers
Best Director
Will win: Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)
Might upset: Unlikely, but Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest)
Should have been nominated: Greta Gerwig (Barbie)
My personal pick: Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon)
Best Actor
Will win: Cillian Murphy(Oppenheimer)
Might upset: Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)
Should have been nominated: Zac Efron (The Iron Claw)
My personal pick: Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)
Best Actress
Will win: Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)
Might upset: Emma Stone (Poor Things)
Should have been nominated: Joanna Scanlan (After Love)
My personal pick: Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall)
Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)
Might upset: No one.
Should have been nominated: Holt McCallany (The Iron Claw)
My personal pick: Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
Might upset: No one.
Should have been nominated: Rosamund Pike (Saltburn)
My personal pick: Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
Best Original Screenplay
Will win: Anatomy of a Fall
Might upset: The Holdovers
Should have been nominated: After Love or Fair Play
My personal pick: May December
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: American Fiction
Might upset: Oppenheimer or Barbie
Should have been nominated: Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret
My personal pick: Barbie
Best Film Editing:
Will win: Oppenheimer
Might upset: Anatomy of a Fall
Should have been nominated: The Taste of Things
My personal pick: Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Animated Feature Film:
Will win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Might upset: The Boy and the Heron
Should have been nominated: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
My personal pick: The Boy and the Heron
Best International Feature:
Will win: The Zone of Interest
Might upset: Nothing.
Should have been nominated: The Taste of Things
My personal pick: The Zone of Interest
Best Documentary – Feature:
Will win: 20 Days in Mariupol
Might upset: Bobi Wine: The People's President
Should have been nominated: Menus-Plaisirs - Les Troisgros
My personal pick: n/a
Best Original Score:
Will win: Oppenheimer
Might upset: Killers of the Flower Moon
Should have been nominated: The Boy and the Heron
My personal pick: Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Original Song:
Will win: “What Was I Made For?" (Barbie)
Might upset: "I'm Just Ken" (Barbie)
Should have been nominated: "Dance the Night" (Barbie)
My personal pick: "I'm Just Ken" (Barbie)
Best Cinematography:
Will win: Oppenheimer
Might upset: Maestro
Should have been nominated: The Taste of the Things
My personal pick: Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Production Design:
Will win: Barbie
Might upset: Poor Things
Should have been nominated: The Taste of Things
My personal pick: Barbie
Best Costume Design:
Will win: Barbie
Might upset: Poor Things
Should have been nominated: Priscilla
My personal pick: Poor Things
Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Will win: Maestro
Might upset: Poor Things
Should have been nominated: Barbie
My personal pick: Poor Things
Best Visual Effects:
Will win: Godzilla Minus One
Might upset: The Creator
Should have been nominated: Barbie
My personal pick: The Creator
Best Sound:
Will win: Oppenheimer
Might upset: The Zone of Interest
Should have been nominated: Beau is Afraid
My personal pick: The Zone of Interest
THE BEST OF THE REST
Best Animated Short Film: War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko
Best Documentary – Short Subject: The Last Repair Shop
Best Live Action Short Film: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar