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  • Writer's pictureRobyn

Final Oscar Predictions 2023



I never thought I'd be overwhelmed by Oscar coverage, but here we are! 2022 was a year of breakthrough blockbusters, from Top Gun: Maverick to Everything Everywhere All at Once (not to mention the $2 billion-earning Avatar: The Way of Water and the moneymaking griefquel Black Panther: Wakanda Forever). Accordingly, Hollywood and the media cycle have honored these mega-nominated hits with nonstop articles, endless campaign narratives, and interviews interviews interviews. I don't think I've seen this much Oscar fervor in years, but hey - I've also never seen so many non-film world people talk about movies this much in years. We're back, baby - and oh, am I tired.


During this long awards season I wrote about the theme of abandonment in 2022's most prestigious films and how my favorite performances of the year were the ones that made me laugh. Overall, I was struck by the fact that the Academy loves actors who go crazy, but rarely considers movies about mental illness to be Best Picture-worthy. It's probably not going to win any awards tonight, but Tár remains my number 1 film of 2022.


Here are my predictions for the 95th Academy Awards:

Best Picture

Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Might upset: Unlikely, but Top Gun: Maverick or All Quiet on the Western Front

Should have been nominated: All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

My personal pick: Tár


Best Director

Will win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Might upset: Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)

Should have been nominated: Baz Luhrmann (Elvis)

My personal pick: Todd Field (Tár)


Best Actor

Will win: Austin Butler (Elvis)

Might upset: Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

Should have been nominated: Alexander Skarsgard (The Northman)

My personal pick: Austin Butler (Elvis)


Best Actress

Will win: Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Might upset: Cate Blanchett (Tár)

Should have been nominated: Lea Seydoux (Crimes of the Future)

My personal pick: Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)


Best Supporting Actor

Will win: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Might upset: No one.

Should have been nominated: Justin Long (Barbarian)

My personal pick: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)


Best Supporting Actress

Will win: Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Might upset: Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

Should have been nominated: Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness)

My personal pick: Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Best Original Screenplay

Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Might upset: The Banshees of Inisherin

Should have been nominated: Funny Pages

My personal pick: Tár


Best Adapted Screenplay

Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Might upset: Women Talking

Should have been nominated: Fire Island

My personal pick: All Quiet on the Western Front


Best Film Editing:

Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Might upset: Elvis or Top Gun: Maverick

Should have been nominated: All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

My personal pick: Elvis


Best Animated Feature Film:

Will win: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio

Might upset: n/a

Should have been nominated: n/a

My personal pick: Turning Red


Best International Feature:

Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Might upset: The Quiet Girl

Should have been nominated: RRR

My personal pick: All Quiet on the Western Front


Best Documentary – Feature:

Will win: Navalny

Might upset: Fire of Love

Should have been nominated: Descendent

My personal pick: All the Beauty and the Bloodshed


Best Original Score:

Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Might upset: Babylon

Should have been nominated: Crimes of the Future

My personal pick: All Quiet on the Western Front


Best Original Song:

Will win: “Naatu Naatu" (RRR)

Might upset: Unlikely, but some people might be ready for Diane Warren to finally win

Should have been nominated: "Nobody Like U" (Turning Red)

My personal pick: “Naatu Naatu" (RRR)


Best Cinematography:

Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Might upset: Elvis

Should have been nominated: EO

My personal pick: All Quiet on the Western Front


Best Production Design:

Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Might upset: Elvis

Should have been nominated: The Northman

My personal pick: All Quiet on the Western Front


Best Costume Design:

Will win: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Might upset: Elvis

Should have been nominated: Corsage

My personal pick: Elvis


Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

Will win: Elvis

Might upset: The Whale or All Quiet on the Western Front

Should have been nominated: n/a

My personal pick: You Won't Be Alone


Best Visual Effects:

Will win: Avatar: The Way of Water

Might upset: Top Gun: Maverick

Should have been nominated: The Northman

My personal pick: Avatar: The Way of Water


Best Sound:

Will win: Top Gun: Maverick

Might upset: All Quiet on the Western Front

Should have been nominated: RRR

My personal pick: Elvis


THE BEST OF THE REST


Best Animated Short Film: The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse

Best Documentary – Short Subject: How Do You Measure a Year?

Best Live Action Short Film: The Red Suitcase



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