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  • Writer's pictureRobyn

2022 Oscar Nominations: Final Predictions

There were a lot of things I was grateful for in 2021: vaccines, more traveling opportunities, and a spate of new movies that weren't purely soul-crushing. Due to a number of follow-the-money-trail factors - including pandemic-related studio delays - a large portion of last year's major awards push movies were brutal and draining, covering topics ranging from economic and racial despair and political strife to degenerative illness and sexual assault. Is that typical Oscar fare? Yeah, basically, but sometimes there are fun movies in the mix, too. This was not that year and after plenty of real-life misery, viewers weren't having it either. The April 2021 Academy Awards ceremony was one of the least-viewed in history and Nomadland is still one of the smallest-grossing Best Picture winners of all time.

But onto bigger and brasher things! Here are my major category final predictions for the 2022 Academy Award nominations:

Best Picture

  • Belfast

  • The Power of the Dog

  • Dune

  • Don't Look Up

  • West Side Story

  • Licorice Pizza

  • CODA

  • King Richard

  • Being the Ricardos

  • tick, tick... BOOM!


  • Kenneth Branagh (Belfast)

  • Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)

  • Denis Villeneuve (Dune)

  • Steven Spielberg (West Side Story)

  • Paul Thomas Anderson (Licorice Pizza)

Actor in a Leading Role

  • Will Smith (King Richard)

  • Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)

  • Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos)

  • Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)

  • Andrew Garfield (tick, tick... BOOM!)

Actress in a Leading Role

  • Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos)

  • Lady Gaga (House of Gucci)

  • Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter)

  • Jennifer Hudson (Respect)

  • Alana Haim (Licorice Pizza)

Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)

  • Troy Kotsur (CODA)

  • Jared Leto (House of Gucci)

  • Bradley Cooper (Licorice Pizza)

  • Ciarán Hinds (Belfast)

Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Ariana DeBose (West Side Story)

  • Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)

  • Cate Blanchett (Nightmare Alley)

  • Catriona Balfe (Belfast)

  • Ruth Negga (Passing)

Writing (Original Screenplay)

  • Belfast (Kenneth Branagh)

  • Licorice Pizza (Paul Thomas Anderson)

  • Don't Look Up (Adam McKay and David Sirota)

  • King Richard (Zach Baylin)

  • Being the Ricardos (Aaron Sorkin)

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

  • The Power of the Dog (Jane Campion)

  • West Side Story (Tony Kushner)

  • CODA (Sian Heder)

  • Dune (Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve, and Eric Roth)

  • The Lost Daughter (Maggie Gyllenhaal)

Best Animated Feature

  • Encanto

  • Flee

  • Luca

  • The Mitchells vs. the Machines

  • Raya and the Last Dragon

Documentary (Feature)

  • Summer of Soul (...Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)

  • Flee

  • Attica

  • The Rescue

  • Faya Dayi

International Feature Film

  • Drive My Car (Japan)

  • The Worst Person in the World (Norway)

  • Compartment No. 6 (Finland)

  • The Hand of God (Italy)

  • A Hero (Iran)


  • The Power of the Dog (Ari Wegner)

  • Belfast (Haris Zambarloukos)

  • West Side Story (Janusz Kaminski)

  • Dune (Greig Fraser)

  • The Tragedy of Macbeth (Bruno Delbonnel)


  • Belfast (Úna Ní Dhonghaíle)

  • The Power of the Dog (Peter Sciberras)

  • Dune (Joe Walker)

  • Don't Look Up (Hank Corwin)

  • No Time to Die (Tom Cross and Elliot Graham)

Best Production Design

  • West Side Story

  • Dune

  • Nightmare Alley

  • The French Dispatch

  • Licorice Pizza

Best Costume Design

  • Cruella

  • West Side Story

  • House of Gucci

  • Dune

  • The Green Knight

Makeup and Hairstyling

  • House of Gucci

  • Cruella

  • Dune

  • The Eyes of Tammy Faye

  • Being the Ricardos

Music (Original Score)

  • Dune (Hans Zimmer)

  • The Power of the Dog (Jonny Greenwood)

  • Encanto (Germaine Franco)

  • No Time to Die (Hans Zimmer)

  • The French Dispatch (Alexandre Desplat)

Music (Original Song)

  • "No Time to Die" (No Time to Die)

  • "Dos Oruguitas" (Encanto)

  • "Just Look Up" (Don't Look Up)

  • "Beyond the Shore" (CODA)

  • "Guns Go Bang" (The Harder They Fall)

Best Visual Effects

  • Dune

  • The Matrix Resurrections

  • No Time to Die

  • Spider-Man: No Way Home

  • Godzilla vs. Kong

Best Sound

  • Dune

  • No Time to Die

  • West Side Story

  • Spider-Man: No Way Home

  • The Matrix Resurrections

Best Animated Short

  • The Windshield Wiper

  • Mum Is Pouring Rain

  • Bestia

  • Namoo

  • Robin Robin

Best Documentary Short Film

  • Three Songs for Benazir

  • Day of Rage

  • Coded: The Hidden Love of J.C. Leyendecker

  • The Queen of Basketball

  • When We Were Bullies

Best Live Action Short Film

  • The Long Goodbye

  • Censor of Dreams

  • Please Hold

  • When the Sun Sets

  • You're Dead Helen


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